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SWS Survey gives a different result for the 2010 Presidential Aspirants

2 June 2009 30 Comments

The barrio siete folks want to become political anal-ysts too. So we try to analyze the news and express opinions.The opinions do not necessarily reflect those of other barrio siete councilors.

SWS survey shows that Manny Villar is on top of the pack of the 2010 Presidential Aspirants as opposed to the Pulse Survey where Noli de Castro was leading.
survey
The first question is… which are we going to believe…a survey where there were 1,200 respondents only or the opinion survey where there were 7,000 respondents? Notice that the Pulse Survey was for the month of May while this SWS survey was for the period April 16 to May 6.

The second question is, who commissioned the survey?

Remulla admitted that the SWS survey that they commissioned for their internal use was reflective of the result of this survey. Meaning ?

The third question is, how come they released the result after the Pulse survey? Some damage control ?

Leading Candidates

Except for the position, a pattern has already emerged for popular candidates.

Noli de Castro and Chiz Escudero are in the top three in the two surveys.

Here is the result;

1. Manny Villar 22 per cent
2. Noli de Castro 18 per cent
3. Chiz Escudero and deposed President Erap Estrada
4. Senator Legarda 10 per cent
5. Senator Manuel Roxas with 9 percent;
6. Senator Panfilo “Ping” Lacson with 6 percent,
7. Makati Jejomar Binay with 2 percent;
8. Metro Manila Development Authority chairman Bayani Fernando with 1 percent.

So what do you think? Are our preferences for candidates affected by the surveys?

The Ca t

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is a part-time educator who was also a former Dean. She is a CPA with a PhD in Economic Development and Doctorate in Business Admin., enjoying her early retirement because of her disability; of being brain challenged, hehehe! that's according to her.

30 Comments »

  • Mr. JuanStep says:

    This is just the result of my observation on the Boto mo Ipatrol mo debate last sunday.

    I noticed that Mar Roxas and Hayden Kho might be RELATIVES. Why? It’s because Mar Roxas always had statements such as “ilalaban KO kayo, di aKO susuko, aKO ang bahala sa inyo, aKO, aKO, aKO.” With all due respect, I was just wandering why he always spoke about HIMSELF. I heard my neighbor say “Kaplastikan naman ang sinasabi ni Mar Roxas.”
    I think I agree – our opinion.

    Do you agree or not?

  • The Cat says:

    HAY NA KHO. ha ha ha. ano kaya ipaglalaban niya.

    if he becomes the president will he still be in fighting mood if he is pressured of wihdrawal of support of his allies?

    kanino kaya siya kakampi? just my thoughts.

  • Silver says:

    I dont trust surveys. Its too early to tell and besides, baka mamya e you know…

  • orphicpixel says:

    survey survey, magtiwala tayo sa sambayanang pilipino

  • Reesie says:

    I am not sure how reliable these surveys are! You know naman sa atin, lahat puwedeng bayaran. Grrrr

  • The Cat says:

    I am not sure how reliable these surveys are! You know naman sa atin, lahat puwedeng bayaran. Grrrr

    .

    opinion surveys are not really reliable ressie. they are mere opinion-influencers. when people see the result of the survey which is discussed as if its sample size is enough to get the pulse of the nation, subconsiously they feel that this is for real.

  • The Cat says:

    first:
    the questionnaire.

    how were the questions structured? did they put the names of the candidates to choose from or they just depend on the RECALL.

    if it is the latter, erap, escudero and noli will really be easy to recall because they are visible and are always in the spotlight.

    kaya nga di ba guso nila palagi silang nasa radyo, nasa TV at may malalaking billboard.

  • The Cat says:

    second:

    the distribution of the questionnaires or the gathering of the data.

    some field interviewers ay kung sino na lang ang kukunin nila para lang matapos ang quota nila.

    how do we know na hindi nila pinasagutan sa kakilala nila, sa kaibigan nila at sa kamag-anak nila?

    • Reesie says:

      @the cat, this is exactly what I meant by “reliable”. how did they gather their data – the questionnaire and the sampling method used? who gather the data? ETC.

      Totoo yung sinabi mo na baka, sila-sila lang nag sagot. Let’s say, si nanay nagsagot ng 20 forms, si tatay nagsagot ng 10, si bunso nagsagot ng 30, Iniiba iba lang ang pangalan. Lol

      Ano ang control kung meron man?

      Agree ako na this is to set people’s mind.

  • BURAOT says:

    trendsetting. we expect to see a lot of them.

  • reynz says:

    or preparing people’s mindset???

  • Reesie says:

    I have no more trust on elections – the possibility that someone can change or transform the Philippines and bring her back from the pit hole where she is right now. This is not a positive attitude pero ito talaga ang nafefeel ko at siguro, ito din ang tingin ng iba nating mga kababayan.

  • elmot says:

    sorry, but i will not vote for villar…this survey was commissioned by villar himself naman eh, nyaks@@!!!

  • The Cat says:

    elmot,
    i do not think he is going to win too. pero minsan ang mga opinion ay nakakainpluwensiya sa ibang tao.

  • lee says:

    juice ko sa totoo lang huh, wala akong itulak tagjakan sa mga aspirants na yan nagiinit lang ulo ko sa kanila at pag ako natanong accidentally sa survey sasabihin ko ang manok ko si hayden… lulugmok din lang e lubus lubusin na litsi

  • [...] Tayong mga Pinoy na ata ang mga pinaka-uber cynical ever sa mga sarvey na to! Hahaha! Remembah, last June 2009, Manny Villar was on top the SWS Survey. Si Noli naman ang tops nang Pulse [...]

  • concerned citizen in Pangasinan says:

    Recently lang may nagconduct ng survey sa dagupan city. ang choice ng respondent sa Presidentiable ay si Eddie Villanueva. ang sabi ng nagsurvey what if 5 na lang pagpipilian, hindi na kasama c villanueva… hanggang sa umabot na lang ng tatlo. nakahalata na ung respondent na pinipilit sila na pumili out of dun sa tatlong candidate na naiwan sa tatlo. in this case, pano maiprepresent sa survey yung actual talaga na choice ng taongbayan. ang effect nito sa mga tao syempre pag nakita nilang laglag na sa survey yung bet nila, discouraged na sila to vote for their choice. ganun na ba ka-miserableng ipanalo nila ung mga kandidato na hindi naman karapat dapat? pls dont participate na lang sa survey. wag po tayo maging part na ganitong panloloko. Please be concern, vote wisely, pray for the righteous leader.

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